Table 3

Expected outcomes by GUCH status (GUCH practitioner v non-GUCH practitioner) and strategy (no surgery v surgery)

Time frameGUCH practitionersNon-GUCH practitionersBoth types of practitioner
No surgerySurgeryAny strategyNo surgerySurgeryAny strategyNo surgerySurgeryAny strategy
Values are mean (SD) expected years survival; and number of values elicited from doctors.
Survival by GUCH status and strategy
Medium term (0–10 years)8.82 (0.50; 16)7.91 (0.98; 48)8.13 (0.97; 64)5.86 (1.97; 6)6.92 (1.50; 18)6.66 (1.65; 24)8.01 (1.71; 22)7.64 (1.21; 66)7.73 (1.35; 88)
Long term (10–20 years)5.76 (1.72; 16)5.61 (1.98; 45)5.65 (1.90; 61)2.13 (2.74; 6)5.04 (1.62; 18)4.31 (2.28; 24)4.77 (2.58; 22)5.45 (1.89; 63)5.27 (2.09; 85)
Entire frame (0–20 years)14.58 (2.05; 16)13.55 (2.81; 45)13.82 (2.66; 61)7.99 (4.61; 6)11.97 (3.06; 18)10.97 (3.83; 24)12.78 (4.13; 22)13.09 (2.95; 63)13.01 (3.27; 85)
Survival with good heart function by GUCH status and strategy
Medium term (0–10 years)5.99 (3.12; 9)5.76 (2.38; 27)5.82 (2.54; 36)2.96 (2.87; 6)5.14 (1.56; 17)4.57 (2.14; 23)4.78 (3.29; 15)5.52 (2.11; 44)5.33 (2.45; 59)
Long term (10–20 years)2.40 (1.95; 9)3.04 (2.16; 24)2.87 (2.09; 33)1.26 (1.91; 6)2.86 (1.93; 17)2.45 (2.01; 23)1.94 (1.95; 15)2.97 (2.04; 41)2.69 (2.05; 56)
Entire frame (0–20 years)8.39 (4.59; 9)8.80 (4.35; 24)8.69 (4.35; 33)4.23 (4.71; 6)8.00 (3.26; 17)7.02 (3.96; 23)6.72 (4.94; 15)8.47 (3.91; 41)8.00 (4.24; 56)