Adjusted odds of 30-day death for elective and emergency admissions
| Elective | Emergency | |
|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | |
| Patient fixed effects | ||
| Gender, male vs female | 1.033 (0.956 to 1.116) | 1.062 (1.045 to 1.080) |
| Age† | 1.026 (1.023 to 1.028) | 1.026 (1.025 to 1.026) |
| Comorbidity score† | 1.092 (1.089 to 1.095) | 1.044 (1.043 to 1.044) |
| Transfers in vs not | 3.413 (3.003 to 3.891) | 1.513 (1.468 to 1.560) |
| Year of admission | ||
| 2009 vs 2012 | 1.301 (1.152 to 1.469) | 1.209 (1.179 to 1.241) |
| 2010 vs 2012 | 1.217 (1.077 to 1.374) | 1.099 (1.071 to 1.128) |
| 2011 vs 2012 | 1.192 (1.057 to 1.343) | 1.043 (1.017 to 1.070) |
| Ranking (lowest risk=0) | ||
| 0 vs 3 | 0.102 (0.080 to 0.131) | 0.044 (0.040 to 0.048) |
| 1 vs 3 | 0.335 (0.298 to 0.375) | 0.149 (0.145 to 0.154) |
| 2 vs 3 | 0.684 (0.596 to 0.785) | 0.291 (0.285 to 0.296) |
| Country | ||
| England vs USA | 0.996 (0.571 to 1.737) | 2.109 (1.307 to 3.402) |
| Australia vs USA | 0.596 (0.367 to 0.966) | 1.454 (0.947 to 2.232) |
| The Netherlands vs USA | 3.310 (2.179 to 5.027) | 2.708 (1.743 to 4.207) |
| Country×day of the week | ||
| England | ||
| Tuesday vs Monday | 0.81 (0.67 to 0.97) | 0.97 (0.94 to 1.01) |
| Wednesday vs Monday | 1.11 (0.93 to 1.32) | 0.96 (0.93 to 1.00) |
| Thursday vs Monday | 0.98 (0.82 to 1.18) | 0.96 (0.92 to 0.99) |
| Friday vs Monday | 1.10 (0.91 to 1.33) | 0.98 (0.94 to 1.01) |
| Saturday vs Monday | 1.31 (0.90 to 1.91) | 1.07 (1.03 to 1.12) |
| Sunday vs Monday | 2.78 (1.93 to 4.03) | 1.08 (1.04 to 1.13) |
| Australia | ||
| Tuesday vs Monday | 0.85 (0.60 to 1.21) | 0.95 (0.90 to 1.02) |
| Wednesday vs Monday | 0.93 (0.66 to 1.30) | 0.94 (0.89 to 1.01) |
| Thursday vs Monday | 0.89 (0.62 to 1.26) | 0.98 (0.92 to 1.06) |
| Friday vs Monday | 1.07 (0.74 to 1.54) | 0.97 (0.91 to 1.04) |
| Saturday vs Monday | 1.20 (0.57 to 2.55) | 1.03 (0.97 to 1.10) |
| Sunday vs Monday | 2.07 (1.16 to 3.70) | 1.02 (0.95 to 1.09) |
| USA | ||
| Tuesday vs Monday | 1.37 (1.00 to 1.87) | 0.98 (0.92 to 1.05) |
| Wednesday vs Monday | 1.38 (1.00 to 1.90) | 1.00 (0.93 to 1.07) |
| Thursday vs Monday | 1.27 (0.91 to 1.76) | 1.07 (1.00 to 1.15) |
| Friday vs Monday | 1.18 (0.84 to 1.66) | 1.05 (0.98 to 1.12) |
| Saturday vs Monday | 2.48 (1.17 to 5.23) | 1.11 (1.02 to 1.20) |
| Sunday vs Monday | 2.35 (0.61 to 9.04) | 1.13 (1.04 to 1.24) |
| The Netherlands | ||
| Tuesday vs Monday | 0.88 (0.71 to 1.10) | 1.06 (0.96 to 1.16) |
| Wednesday vs Monday | 1.14 (0.92 to 1.40) | 1.06 (0.97 to 1.17) |
| Thursday vs Monday | 1.19 (0.99 to 1.48) | 1.03 (0.94 to 1.13) |
| Friday vs Monday | 1.33 (1.07 to 1.66) | 0.98 (0.90 to 1.08) |
| Saturday vs Monday | 4.74 (3.29 to 6.82) | 1.20 (1.09 to 1.33) |
| Sunday vs Monday | 2.61 (1.86 to 3.66) | 1.17 (1.06 to 1.29) |
| Hospital fixed effects | ||
| Beds† | 1.000 (1.000 to 1.000)* | 1.000 (1.000 to 1.000)* |
| Transfers out† | 0.948 (0.918 to 0.979)** | 0.997 (0.977 to 1.016)* |
| Random effects (hospitals) | ||
| Covariance parameter estimates (SD) | 0.0395 (0.0150)*** | 0.1129 (0.0218)*** |
| c Statistic | 0.878 | 0.856 |
* Not significant at 0.05 level,
**p<0.001.
***p<0.0001.
†Unit change from mean.