Table 2

Predictors of exception reporting (at least one exception code within each year and patient); logistic regression analyses on ONS linked data from 357 practices

OR (99% CI)
All reasons*†Clinical contraindication‡Informed dissent§
QOF year
 2006/2007ReferenceReferenceReference
 2007/20081.03 (1.02 to 1.05)0.93 (0.91 to 0.95)1.14 (1.12 to 1.16)
 2008/20090.99 (0.97 to 1.00)0.91 (0.90 to 0.93)1.08 (1.06 to 1.10)
 2009/20101.09 (1.08 to 1.11)1.021 (1.00 to 1.04)1.18 (1.16 to 1.21)
 2010/20111.30 (1.28 to 1.32)1.15 (1.12 to 1.17)1.44 (1.41 to 1.47)
 2011/20121.27 (1.24 to 1.29)1.15 (1.13 to 1.18)1.34 (1.32 to 1.37)
List size
 Per 1000 increase1.01 (1.01 to 1.01)1.00 (0.99 to 1.00)1.02 (1.02 to 1.03)
English region
 North EastReferenceReferenceReference
 North West1.01 (0.95 to 1.08)1.58 (1.45 to 1.72)0.70 (0.65 to 0.74)
 Yorkshire and The Humber0.62 (0.58 to 0.67)0.93 (0.85 to 1.03)0.51 (0.47 to 0.55)
 East Midlands1.10 (1.02 to 1.19)1.55 (1.40 to 1.72)0.87 (0.81 to 0.95)
 West Midlands0.66 (0.62 to 0.70)1.04 (0.95 to 1.13)0.47 (0.44 to 0.50)
 East of England1.06 (0.99 to 1.13)1.95 (1.79 to 2.13)0.61 (0.57 to 0.65)
 South West1.07 (1.00 to 1.14)1.88 (1.72 to 2.05)0.65 (0.61 to 0.69)
 South Central0.84 (0.78 to 0.89)1.27 (1.16 to 1.39)0.62 (0.57 to 0.66)
 London0.64 (0.60 to 0.68)0.94 (0.86 to 1.03)0.52 (0.48 to 0.55)
 South East Coast0.68 (0.63 to 0.73)0.96 (0.88 to 1.05)0.57 (0.54 to 0.61)
Practice deprivation quintile
 1 (least deprived)ReferenceReferenceReference
 21.31 (1.27 to 1.36)1.62 (1.56 to 1.69)1.04 (1.00 to 1.07)
 31.55 (1.50 to 1.61)1.84 (1.76 to 1.92)1.17 (1.13 to 1.22)
 41.28 (1.24 to 1.33)1.51 (1.44 to 1.57)1.04 (1.01 to 1.08)
 51.33 (1.28 to 1.38)1.40 (1.34 to 1.47)1.19 (1.15 to 1.24)
Gender
 FemaleReferenceReferenceReference
 Male1.01 (0.99 to 1.03)0.90 (0.88 to 0.92)1.08 (1.06 to 1.10)
Age
 Per 1-year increase1.02 (1.02 to 1.03)1.04 (1.03 to 1.04)1.02 (1.01 to 1.02)
Patient deprivation quintile
 1 (least deprived)ReferenceReferenceReference
 21.06 (1.03 to 1.09)1.12 (1.08 to 1.16)1.00 (0.97 to 1.03)
 31.10 (1.07 to 1.13)1.10 (1.06 to 1.15)1.10 (1.06 to 1.13)
 41.15 (1.11 to 1.19)1.14 (1.10 to 1.19)1.16 (1.12 to 1.20)
 51.16 (1.12 to 1.20)1.29 (1.24 to 1.35)1.07 (1.03 to 1.12)
Conditions¶
 Atrial fibrillation3.11 (3.00 to 3.22)5.33 (5.11 to 5.56)1.06 (1.02 to 1.11)
 Asthma4.97 (4.86 to 5.09)2.85 (2.77 to 2.93)4.58 (4.47 to 4.69)
 Hypertension1.47 (1.44 to 1.50)1.71 (1.67 to 1.76)1.15 (1.13 to 1.18)
 Cancer0.96 (0.93 to 0.99)1.18 (1.14 to 1.22)0.80 (0.78 to 0.83)
 Coronary heart disease9.82 (9.54 to 10.11)23.71 (22.87 to 24.58)2.20 (2.14 to 2.27)
 Heart failure1.83 (1.74 to 1.92)2.54 (2.40 to 2.70)0.98 (0.93 to 1.03)
 Chronic kidney disease1.82 (1.78 to 1.87)2.43 (2.36 to 2.51)1.08 (1.05 to 1.11)
 COPD5.84 (5.63 to 6.07)9.20 (8.78 to 9.64)2.24 (2.15 to 2.33)
 Dementia2.24 (2.13 to 2.37)3.25 (3.04 to 3.46)1.02 (0.96 to 1.09)
 Depression0.94 (0.92 to 0.96)1.81 (1.76 to 1.85)0.52 (0.51 to 0.53)
 Diabetes mellitus6.35 (6.20 to 6.51)5.06 (4.91 to 5.22)5.38 (5.25 to 5.52)
 Epilepsy5.30 (5.01 to 5.60)11.76 (11.00 to 12.59)1.37 (1.29 to 1.47)
 Learning disability1.10 (1.00 to 1.22)1.75 (1.54 to 1.99)0.66 (0.58 to 0.75)
 Severe mental illness4.38 (4.17 to 4.60)4.42 (4.15 to 4.70)2.83 (2.68 to 2.98)
 Stroke3.61 (3.48 to 3.73)3.84 (3.68 to 4.01)2.44 (2.35 to 2.53)
 Hypothyroidism0.87 (0.84 to 0.90)0.93 (0.89 to 0.96)0.84 (0.81 to 0.87)
  • *Clinical contraindication, informed dissent or reason unknown. Logistical exceptions were not included in analyses.

  • †No of observations=5 787 456, No of subjects=1 414 897, Log likelihood=−1 869 483, Wald χ2=224 393.

  • ‡No of observations=5 787 456, No of subjects=1 414 897, Log likelihood=−1 211 443, Wald χ2=223 723.

  • §No of observations=5 787 456, No of subjects=1 414 897, Log likelihood=−1 249 265, Wald χ2=87 458.

  • ¶Reference: patients without the specific condition, but with one or more other study conditions.

  • COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; ONS, Office of National Statistics; QOF, Quality and Outcomes Framework.