Table 3

Mean probabilities assigned by subjects responding “as if you did not know what happened” (Experiment 2)

Experimental groupNOutcome providedOutcome evaluated
1234
Note: In each case the Before results are taken from the corresponding before (no outcome) group in Experiment 1 (subjects who actually responded not knowing what happened). Outlined cells are those with After (ignore) probabilities of reported outcomes.
Event A: British-Gurka struggle
Before17None29.423.534.712.4
After (ignore)201129.827.424.918.4
15238.021.719.720.7
18322.131.831.914.3
18418.132.928.921.2
Event B: Near-riot in Atlanta
Before39None11.329.043.916.3
After (ignore)171124.627.028.319.8
2129.041.536.413.1
2036.324.543.525.8
20413.320.336.524.0
Event C: Mrs Dewar in therapy
Before19None26.615.823.434.4
After (ignore)191136.410.216.137.4
19224.728.815.531.9
15325.113.734.926.4
20418.312.321.852.8
Event D: George in therapy
Before17None26.426.939.46.3
After (ignore)171141.816.535.36.5
18224.635.932.47.0
20318.320.457.34.0
18421.021.138.419.6