Mean probabilities assigned by subjects responding “as if you did not know what happened” (Experiment 2)
| Experimental group | N | Outcome provided | Outcome evaluated | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Note: In each case the Before results are taken from the corresponding before (no outcome) group in Experiment 1 (subjects who actually responded not knowing what happened). Outlined cells are those with After (ignore) probabilities of reported outcomes. | ||||||
| Event A: British-Gurka struggle | ||||||
| Before | 17 | None | 29.4 | 23.5 | 34.7 | 12.4 |
| After (ignore) | 20 | 11 | 29.8 | 27.4 | 24.9 | 18.4 |
| 15 | 2 | 38.0 | 21.7 | 19.7 | 20.7 | |
| 18 | 3 | 22.1 | 31.8 | 31.9 | 14.3 | |
| 18 | 4 | 18.1 | 32.9 | 28.9 | 21.2 | |
| Event B: Near-riot in Atlanta | ||||||
| Before | 39 | None | 11.3 | 29.0 | 43.9 | 16.3 |
| After (ignore) | 17 | 11 | 24.6 | 27.0 | 28.3 | 19.8 |
| 21 | 2 | 9.0 | 41.5 | 36.4 | 13.1 | |
| 20 | 3 | 6.3 | 24.5 | 43.5 | 25.8 | |
| 20 | 4 | 13.3 | 20.3 | 36.5 | 24.0 | |
| Event C: Mrs Dewar in therapy | ||||||
| Before | 19 | None | 26.6 | 15.8 | 23.4 | 34.4 |
| After (ignore) | 19 | 11 | 36.4 | 10.2 | 16.1 | 37.4 |
| 19 | 2 | 24.7 | 28.8 | 15.5 | 31.9 | |
| 15 | 3 | 25.1 | 13.7 | 34.9 | 26.4 | |
| 20 | 4 | 18.3 | 12.3 | 21.8 | 52.8 | |
| Event D: George in therapy | ||||||
| Before | 17 | None | 26.4 | 26.9 | 39.4 | 6.3 |
| After (ignore) | 17 | 11 | 41.8 | 16.5 | 35.3 | 6.5 |
| 18 | 2 | 24.6 | 35.9 | 32.4 | 7.0 | |
| 20 | 3 | 18.3 | 20.4 | 57.3 | 4.0 | |
| 18 | 4 | 21.0 | 21.1 | 38.4 | 19.6 | |