Table 1

Outline of methods commonly used in healthcare system modelling and simulation

ApproachUseExamples of methods
Qualitative modellingTo build a picture of the current system and structure the problem. To inform dialogue among participants help focus and scope on key issues.Cognitive mapping, Process mapping, Soft Systems Methods (SSM), Strategic Options and Decision Analysis (SODA)
Mathematical modellingTo support stakeholders in exploring system trade-offs and evaluating different courses of action using quantitative information and outputs.Regression, Forecasting, Optimisation methods, Queuing theory, Markov models, Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA)
SimulationTo test ‘what-if’ scenarios for service design. Determine levels of uncertainty. Provide visualisations, inform clear understanding and dialogue among stakeholders.Discrete event simulation
System dynamics
Monte Carlo simulation
Agent based simulation
Behavioural simulation