Table 3

HRs for 30-day mortality for the pretrend and slope change related to the reconfiguration of the emergency healthcare system

Unadjusted analysesAdjusted analyses*
No. of unplanned contactsHR95% CIP valueNo. of unplanned contactsHR95% CIP value
Overall11 367 65510 717 837
 Pretrend0.9770.975 to 0.98<0.0010.9650.962 to 0.968<0.001
 Slope change1.011.006 to 1.013<0.0011.0041 to 1.0080.045
Weekday versus weekend
Weekday7 650 1777 207 143
 Pretrend0.980.977 to 0.983<0.0010.9660.962 to 0.97<0.001
 Slope change1.0091.005 to 1.013<0.0011.0040.999 to 1.0090.105
Weekend3 717 4783 510 694
 Pretrend0.9720.968 to 0.977<0.0010.9640.959 to 0.97<0.001
 Slope change1.0121.006 to 1.018<0.0011.0020.995 to 1.0090.545
Time of admission
07:00–15:00 hours5 630 2315 314 511
 Pretrend0.9770.974 to 0.981<0.0010.9650.961 to 0.97<0.001
 Slope change1.0121.007 to 1.017<0.0011.0081.002 to 1.0130.006
15:00–23:00 hours4 416 2664 163 653
 Pretrend0.9740.97 to 0.978<0.0010.9660.961 to 0.971<0.001
 Slope change1.0091.004 to 1.0150.0011.0010.994 to 1.0070.803
23:00–07:00 hours1 321 1581 239 673
 Pretrend0.9910.983 to 0.9980.0090.970.961 to 0.979<0.001
 Slope change0.9950.985 to 1.0040.2840.9850.975 to 0.9960.007
  • Adjusted analyses were performed on a complete case basis.

  • *Adjusted for seasonality, the changes in the out-of-hours system in the Capital Region, the implementation of a referral system to emergency departments, sex, age, Charlson Comorbidity Index, ethnicity, education and income level.

  • CCI, Charlson Comorbidity Index.